I love checking in on Major League Baseball season win totals just as spring training is getting rolling. It serves a couple of purposes. First, it’s a great opportunity to think about each and every team and get a sense of both what your expectations are and what the betting public is believing. Secondly, and more significant, it is a fantastic exercise . By assessing back in August or so, you can remind yourself how little you really can know about a staff till they have played and how quickly things can change. A few of the teams will perform as we’ll expect them to. But others will be far off those numbers that they’ll be almost unrecognizable. Here’s a look at all of the numbers set at BetOnline right now:
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Arizona – over/under 74.5: This is only one of many teams on this list that seems to keep coming close to significance but really struggles to get over the hump. And that just isn’t going to be their year. I like the above, but because I like them to acquire about 78 games, not because I like them to become great.
Atlanta – o/u 86.5: I like the youth with this team, and they’ve done a decent job of building on it. Odds would suggest that they are the third-best group in the NL East. However, when I had to pick one team to acquire it, this could be it. It may just be sentimentality, but I like what they have going on. I like the over.
Baltimore – o/u 59.5: How pathetic is it the lowest number on the board isn’t nearly low enough. This will be a horrifyingly bad team. Just dreadful. The under is favored at -125, but even at that price it’s the ideal play.
Boston – o/u 94.5: I was convinced early on the Red Sox will win the AL East. But as things have gone , I’ve changed my mind and believe they will finish second behind the Yankees. I see 95 wins, so there isn’t any worth in this number. I would take over if I needed to.
Chicago Cubs – o/u 88.5: At this point, I think one of three teams will win the NL Central, and they are going to do it with a win total somewhere in the low 90s. The issue, though, is that I can’t decide which team it’ll be. I like things about all three – Milwaukee less than others. The Cubs should bounce back to a disappointing ending to an often-disappointing season, so I lean over.
Chicago White Sox – o/u 74.5: I am disappointed that the White Sox could not get any grip with the big free agents, because I enjoy the upside here. They have been bad for a long while, but they have done a good job of rebuilding the proper way. I really don’t think that they will contend or anything, but I enjoy the over here.
Cincinnati – o/u 79.5: I’m watching Reds play in Chicago this summer, so I’d really like to allow them to be at least decent. It would result in a better match. Butunfortunately, this seems like a generous amount. Like, five or even six wins ample in my eyes. I’ll all over the under here.
Cleveland – o/u 90.5: There are 13 guys who have been on the roster at the end of last year who aren’t now. Stunning turnover. But they have talent nevertheless, along with the Central is a wreck so that they receive a boost from that. In any other division I’d lean beneath, but I lean over.
Colorado – o/u 84.5: Last year this team was a pleasant surprise. There are just a few matters harder than adhering to a season like that. But I love that they stepped up for Nolan Arenado, also have reasonable faith in the young pitchers. I am going over.
Detroit – o/u 68.5: When is the last time it felt like the Tigers needed a plan? It has been too long, and right now that they appear to be just plain water. They are not any good and do not appear to be moving towards respectability with any urgency. I hate where this team is right now. Very simple beneath.
Houston – o/u 96.5: This really is a big number. Scary big. However, the Astros are my pick to win it all this year, and there is so much explosiveness on this group. I need to go over – whether I enjoy it or not.
Kansas City – o/u 69.5: The Royals reveal just how hard constructing a group is out of a huge market. They slowly built, had their success, and they are only awful again – and it’s going to take a long while before that changes. Easy under.