Memphis vs Cincinnati College Football Week 14 Betting Prediction

Its tough to believe Memphis is favorites over Cincinnati that Friday.
Both G5 school soccer powerhouses have ruled, whether on crime (Memphis) or defense (Cinci). One spot is ranked by the Tigers . Theyd set up a rematch from the AAC Championship.
However, the Bearcats have trailed away in recent weeks. They have compiled a total of 140 passing yards within the last two months and beat two sub-.500 teams this past month.
Memphis, meanwhile, has now won its last five matches by almost 20 points. This includes a 39-point street thumping of USF , a group which gave all kinds of fits per week before to the Bearcats.
The Tigers received strong performances out of Brady White (30-7 TD-INT) around the board. His 180.0 passer rating is 7th overall in the nation and greatest one of G5 QBs. But RB Kenneth Gant has gone 97+ yards rushing in each of the previous nine games, which will continue to keep any defense guessing.
This includes a Bearcats squad ranked 4th in earnings 20th and speed in opponents touchdown rate.
Memphis is the group that requires the triumph, watching as Cinci has clinched their division. Navy could sneak in within this conferences Memphis around the West side. That may also raise one which can be discovered on BetNow the line, and a lot of other large books.
Heres a break down of every group, to establish whether the spread should be as big as it is.
Memphis defense goes unnoticed due to its art. However, this is a squad that been trusted against offenses.
Surethe SMU game was a shootout, however, Navy (26th in FEI crime ) and Tulane (30th) were held to 23 and 17 points, respectively. They can be somewhat hit or miss, such as seeing 109th-ranked Temple 30 points along with Tulsa (76th) 41.
They may find a break with the Bearcats crime. They played with with a Temple defense which defeat Memphis in the year, and rank at the top 50 in efficiency. But they have become a unit that is one-dimensional.
They havent had over 200 yards passing in a game since October 12th. Desmond Ridders 51.7% finish percent the previous seven matches is dreadful. If accumulated over a full season, he would be ranked by it 103rd out of 106 QBs.
With Memphis 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed and defensive pass efficiency. Only three groups passed to get a greater or 60 percent completion percentage, or so the game of the Bearcats must be next to nonexistent.
They will need to lean on RB Michael Warren II, who is carried all the offensive load using 50 conveys within the past two games. While the Memphis d-line isnt spectacular, particularly in short-yardage scenarios (104th in power success).
However, the Bearcats are possibly right now to take advantage of any weakness. Averaging 3.6 yards per play the previous two weeks wont get them very much. Especially not with Memphis offense putting around 47 points per game.
Their only hope is they can make the most of runs to control the clock and to coax Memphis in to penalties. The Tigers rank 118th .
This can be power versus strength. An offense that is scored over 40 points in all but three matches, along with a defense thats held seven of 11 opponents to below 20 points.
Its much better to diagnose exactly what these units arent all that good and how much worth to place into their dominance.
Even though Memphis is in the top 20 in every efficiency variable and 7th overall in FEI crime, their one defect is turnover rate (69th). Their offensive line isnt rewarded for their achievement on the floor . Put at 105th in power achievement 98th in lineup lawns, and 94th in stuff rate, it is clear Memphis doesnt rely upon a slew of intermediate profits. They rely on a few ones.
They could continue to keep this close, if Cincinnati can remove the home run . They are common in complex metrics across their front but have the speed and versatility overall to challenge Memphis.
Theyve allowed only 3.26 YPA around the floor over the past five games. To put this in perspective, the average racing YPA from the FBS is 5.0. Over the typical 38.8 carries theyve let in that interval, which could come to a gap of 68 yards.
So they might only put 35th in hurry yards . However, their YPA positions over that five-game stretch at the top 15. They have just allowed a touchdown run on each 57.75 communicates during the second half of this year. The very best rushing defense in the Group of Five, san Diego State, gives up one every 38 carries.
With that said, QB Brady White will need to be in prime shape for Memphis to pull away. In addition, he has to stay out of trouble using INTs. He has one for every 43 passes, or seven this season. But thats a average from a defense ranked 7th at INTs.
This can be really a Tigers crime inhabiting the top-7 in touchdown, drives that are volatile, and possession efficiency speed. On one hand, the 12th-ranked UCF crime was held by the Bearcats to 20 points below their season point overall. On the flip side Cincis average opponent is 75th in scoring, with UCF and Ohio State the sole ones ranked in the top-60.
Cincis defense extends from letting 13.3 PPG to 27.8 PPG in home/road splits. Though the second sees a spike due to Ohio State (42 points), it is also that way because of poor East Carolina (43).
At a matchup between explosive and sturdy, Memphis will triumph. Even when the Bearcats D puts a similar functionality just like against the Knights , they dont have the offense to make use.
The only breakout performances offensively since September of cinci come from teams in scoring defense. Provided that a team keeps from Warren II wearing them down, there is not much to deal with differently. Off of any match, the lid wont violate without a single offensive TD more than 17 metres in any of the past four games.
The two best defenses held them to 35 and 28 points. And Cincinnati is a substantial amount better than Temple and also Navy . They are both the consistent defense that the Tigers have played, and also the one that generates the most turnover difficulties.
But with the momentum they have at every place that is offensive on top of the demand for your win, can help Memphis pull off. If the Tigers are stored into the least amount of points theyve had because their opener, then they will still win by two touchdowns.
That dysfunctional matters are through the air for Cinci, particularly on crime.
Prediction: Memphis 34, Cincinnati 17

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