For the uninitiated, gambling on the cash line simply means gambling on which team you think will win the game. The money line is adjusted depending on the spread to help risk is mitigated by novels.
For example, a favorite of four factors in the NBA could have a money line of approximately -184. This means that you would have to bet $184 to win $100 in the event that you bet on such a team to win.
To get underdogs it works a bit differently. A 4-point underdog from the NBA could have a money line recorded at roughly +150. This signifies is that you would win $150 for every $100 wagered on this group if they were to win the game outright.
Converting NBA Spreads to Their Authentic Money Lines What I’m really interested in is whether money line gambling from the NBA is rewarding. I went back over the outcomes of over 20,000 matches to discover how teams have performed on the money line. I wanted to see whether it’s worth taking at any different spreads.
The chart below demonstrates what the money line for NBA games at every spread should be based on the outcomes of over 28,000 NBA games. It is important to note that these are the fair market values for every money line. Sportsbooks don’t offer fair market odds (otherwise they would find it tough to turn a profit). This way we can utilize the data to determine possible opportunities to take the money line when it isn’t properly priced. Since we have taken their built in advantage from each probability, we could feel confident that we are getting real value if the cash line posted in our publication is far better than the price in the chart.
The more common that the spread, the more accurate the win percentage is going to be. We’ve excluded spreads with less than 100 games to examine, but in reality you are better off considering those using a sample size of 500 or more matches.
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